US tariff announcements have introduced a wave of uncertainty into global markets. While the initial shock caused equities to retreat sharply, sentiment steadied somewhat after the US paused broad-based tariffs for most countries, leaving China as the primary target for higher levies. This erratic policy approach has unsettled businesses and investors alike, with US Treasury yields responding with unusual speed. We are keeping a close eye on trade negotiations, particularly those involving China, as their outcomes could significantly influence market direction in the coming months.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady comes amid mixed signals from the economy. Strong consumer spending and a resilient labour market suggest underlying strength, but inflationary pressures remain a persistent concern. Political calls for rate cuts have added to the noise, yet the Fed’s next steps remain uncertain. For now, we are watching closely to see how these dynamics unfold, as the interplay between economic data and policy decisions will be critical in shaping the path ahead.
In China, the investment climate remains somewhat cloudy amid ongoing tensions with the US. While fiscal stimulus measures announced during the Two Sessions meeting provide some support, including efforts to boost consumption and bolster key industries, we believe there is scope for further measures in the coming months.
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